Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000114 0.000126 0.000138 0.000153 0.000168 0.000185 0.000205
2026-01-18 0.000092 0.000109 0.000129 0.000153 0.000183 0.000217 0.000261
2026-01-25 0.000077 0.000097 0.000120 0.000151 0.000191 0.000241 0.000308
2026-02-01 0.000068 0.000089 0.000115 0.000151 0.000200 0.000265 0.000358
2026-02-08 0.000060 0.000081 0.000109 0.000148 0.000205 0.000283 0.000400
2026-02-15 0.000053 0.000074 0.000103 0.000145 0.000207 0.000297 0.000438
2026-02-22 0.000049 0.000070 0.000100 0.000146 0.000216 0.000321 0.000492
2026-03-01 0.000046 0.000068 0.000099 0.000149 0.000227 0.000349 0.000555
2026-03-08 0.000042 0.000063 0.000094 0.000145 0.000228 0.000360 0.000593
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000226 0.000367 0.000623
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000056 0.000088 0.000142 0.000234 0.000391 0.000685
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000054 0.000087 0.000143 0.000243 0.000416 0.000752
2026-04-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000083 0.000141 0.000246 0.000433 0.000807
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000142 0.000253 0.000459 0.000884
2026-04-19 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000140 0.000256 0.000475 0.000944
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000045 0.000077 0.000140 0.000262 0.000499 0.001022
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000137 0.000263 0.000514 0.001083
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000040 0.000071 0.000134 0.000262 0.000525 0.001137
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000135 0.000271 0.000555 0.001239
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000138 0.000282 0.000592 0.001362
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000036 0.000068 0.000134 0.000280 0.000601 0.001419
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000130 0.000276 0.000603 0.001458
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000033 0.000064 0.000131 0.000284 0.000636 0.001579